Kentucky Derby Blog

    Kentucky Derby race schedule and replay, history, betting guide and everything else.

    Browsing Posts published in March, 2011

    Risen Star Stakes winner Mucho Macho Man lost his right front shoe at the start of the Louisiana Derby on Saturday but still battled bravely to finish third, beaten by less than a length by winner Pants On Fire. Mucho Macho Man has $370,000 in graded stakes earnings, which should be sufficient to guarantee him a starting spot in the Kentucky Derby.

    Previously unheralded Pants On Fire, a son of Jump Start, had only a maiden win in seven starts prior to his neck victory in the Louisiana Derby at odds of 6-1.

    Kelly Breen, who trains the Kentucky-bred colt for George and Lori Hall, left Fair Grounds early to prepare his horses for the Sunland Park Derby (gr. III), but indicated earlier that Pants On Fire, who earned $600,000 for the victory, would make his next start in the May 7 Derby.

    Watch the Louisiana Derby 2011 replay

    The 3-year-old son of Warfront turned the Rebel into his third consecutive wire-to-wire victory, blazing through the 1 1-16 miles in 1:42.19, a stress-free 6¼ lengths in front.

    The Factor returned $4.80, $4 and $3.20. Caleb’s Posse paid $14.20 and $6.80, outsprinting in the stretch Southwest Stakes winner Archarcharch, which paid $4.20.

    The Factor could return to the Hot Springs, Ark. track for a run in the $1 million Arkansas Derby (GI) at 1 1/8 miles on April 16.

    Watch the Rebel Stakes replay.

    Grade 2 heroine KATHMANBLU (Bluegrass Cat) was the decisive choice when wagering closed Sunday on the lone three-day betting pool for Churchill Downs’ 2011 Kentucky Oaks Future Wager

    The Ken McPeek-trained Kathmanblu ended up as a clear 7-2 favorite among 24 betting interests in the March 11-13 pool. A $2 win wager placed on the daughter of 2006 Kentucky Derby runner-up Bluegrass Cat will return $9.40 if she wins the Kentucky Oaks.

    Kentucky Oaks had fans wagered $92,902 during the three-day pool, including $29,098 in exacta bets, when the Oaks Future betting concluded Sunday evening at 6:30 p.m. (EDT).

    Here is the complete list of the 24 betting interests for the Kentucky Oaks Future Wager odds.

    # Horses Morning line 11-Mar 12-Mar Final Will Pay
    1 A Z Warrior 15-1 18-1 23-1 28-1 $59.00
    2 Big Tiz 20-1 52-1 32-1 38-1 $79.60
    3 Bouquet Booth 20-1 15-1 39-1 41-1 $85.00
    4 Dancinginherdreams 10-1 11-1 9-1 10-1 $22.40
    5 Delightful Mary 15-1 14-1 21-1 24-1 $51.00
    6 Harlan’s Ruby 20-1 57-1 58-1 84-1 $170.20
    7 Holy Heavens 50-1 72-1 91-1 82-1 $166.00
    8 Inglorious 30-1 18-1 28-1 23-1 $49.00
    9 It’s Tricky 10-1 28-1 19-1 10-1 $23.60
    10 Joyful Victory 20-1 27-1 10-1 7-1 $17.80
    11 Kathmanblu 12-1 5-1 9-2 7-2 $9.40
    12 Mildly Offensive 50-1 17-1 27-1 51-1 $104.80
    13 Miss Smarty Pants 50-1 32-1 34-1 44-1 $91.40
    14 Oh Carole 50-1 44-1 42-1 54-1 $111.40
    15 Pomeroys Pistol 30-1 99-1 99-1 127-1 $256.20
    16 R Heat Lightning 8-1 12-1 7-1 9-1 $20.00
    17 Rigoletta 30-1 50-1 45-1 56-1 $115.00
    18 Royal Delta 20-1 27-1 28-1 37-1 $77.40
    19 Salty Strike 30-1 93-1 89-1 100-1 $203.00
    20 Snow Fall 50-1 55-1 59-1 56-1 $115.40
    21 Summer Soiree 50-1 67-1 87-1 55-1 $113.00
    22 Wyomia 50-1 59-1 36-1 24-1 $50.00
    23 Zazu 8-1 9-2 5-1 7-1 $16.00
    24 Mutuel Field (All Other 3YO Fillies) 5-2 6-1 8-1 9-1 $21.80

    Win handle was $279,534 on Pool 2, with another $97,165 bet on exactas. The total of $376,699 was up 6 percent from 2010 Pool 2 and ranks right in the middle for all-time Pool 2 handles (seventh-highest of 13) since Churchill Downs first began offering parimutuel futures in 1999. The record Pool 2 handle of $511,655 was set in 2005.

    Leading three-year-old Uncle Mo has been made the favorite with the close of betting in the second Kentucky Derby Future Wager.

    Here is the complete list of the 24 betting interests for the second Kentucky Derby Future Wager. The third and final Future Wager will be on the first weekend of April.

    No. Horse Pool 1 odds Pool 2 odds $2 will-pay
    1 Anthony’s Cross 45-1 46-1 $93.80
    2 Archarcharch 2-1(f) 50-1 $103.60
    3 Astrology 48-1 53-1 $109.00
    4 Brethren 15-1 30-1 $63.60
    5 Comma to the Top 90-1 85-1 $173.60
    6 Dialed In 8-1 11-1 $24.40
    7 Elite Alex 2-1(f) 31-1 $64.60
    8 Gourmet Dinner 85-1 42-1 $87.00
    9 J P.’s Gusto 79-1 61-1 $125.40
    10 Jaycito 21-1 16-1 $35.00
    11 Machen 49-1 68-1 $139.80
    12 Mucho Macho Man 30-1 29-1 $61.00
    13 Rogue Romance 34-1 36-1 $73.80
    14 Runflatout 2-1 (f) 31-1 $64.00
    15 Santiva 37-1 31-1 $64.80
    16 Silver Medallion 66-1 31-1 $65.80
    17 Soldat 18-1 13-1 $29.80
    18 Stay Thirsty 40-1 25-1 $52.60
    19 Sway Away 2-1 (f) 18-1 $38.00
    20 Sweet Ducky 79-1 75-1 $152.20
    21 The Factor 25-1 32-1 $66.00
    22 To Honor and Serve 10-1 15-1 $31.80
    23 Uncle Mo 7-2 3-1 $8.20
    24 All others (field) 2-1 7-2 $9.40

    Uncle Mo wining the 2010 Champagne Stakes

    Uncle Mo, trained by Todd Pletcher, is a strong favorite and the top contender. Check out the top 10 Kentucky Derby contenders in the graded earning as of March 13.

    Rank Last Week Contenders Earnings Trainer
    1. 1. Uncle Mo $1,260,000 Todd Pletcher
    2. 2. Gourmet Dinner $780,000 Steve Standridge
    3. 3. J P’s Gusto (r) $540,000 Joe Petalino
    4. 4. Soldat $510,000 Kiaran McLaughlin
    5. 5. Comma to the Top (g) $471,000 Peter Miller
    6. 6. Rogue Romance $288,000 Ken McPeek
    7. 7. Mucho Macho Man $270,000 Kathy Ritvo
    8. 8. Stay Thirsty $260,000 Todd Pletcher
    t-9. 13. Jaycito $250,000 Bob Baffert
    t-9. 9. To Honor and Serve $250,000 Bill Mott
    11. 10. Santiva $240,254 Eddie Kenneally

    Watch Me Go upset the Grade 2, $350,000 Tampa Bay Derby at Tampa Bay Downs on March 12, 2011.

    Watch Me Go, a 43-1 long shot, won the Tampa Bay Derby in Oldsmar, Fla., yesterday in one of the biggest upsets in the history of the race, beating a field that included Kentucky Derby hopeful Brethren.

    Brethren finished third behind Crimson Knight, who had 86-1 odds in the $350,000 Grade 2 race.

    Watch Me Go now is a serious contender to make the Kentucky Derby in May. Ridden by Luis Garcia, Watch Me Go pulled to the lead on the homestretch, as Brethren and Crimson Knight were neck and neck for most of the 1 1/16 mile race. Brethren, however, faded, and Watch Me Go won by a neck over Crimson Knight.

    The winning time was 1:44.25. Watch Me Go, who finished third at the Davis Stakes a month ago, returned $89.40, $28.80, and $8.80. Crimson Knight was second at $50 and $11.80, and Brethren returned $2.10 to show.